Prognostications and Prophecies: Picking SEC Games Against The Spread, Week 8
I had an odd Week in Week 7. Normally, people do much better picking games straight up than they do Against the Spread. That has been the case for me this season as well. This did not hold true last week however.
Last week I picked only two games correctly straight up. On the other had, I picked 4 correctly Against the Spread. Some of my underdog picks managed to keep it close enough to come out ahead there. So I’ll try to improve upon both numbers this week.
To the picks!
Last Week
Against the Spread: 4-3
Straight Up: 2-5
Year to Date
Against the Spread: 25-21
Straight Up: 31-15
Auburn at Arkansas (-5.5)
One of the things that bugged me to no end when Mississippi State played Auburn was the number of people who picked Auburn to win simply because Auburn HAD to win. You’re going to hear a lot of that about Arkansas this week, if you haven’t already.
Auburn can get right back to salvaging their season with a win in Fayetteville and Arkansas can get the recovery started again. I just don’t think anything Bielema does will work over a long period or be overly successful. Take the Tigers.
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Prediction: Auburn 24 – Arkansas 20
Tennessee at Alabama (-15.5)
Tennessee might be the biggest disappointment of the year. Alabama might be the best team in the country despite the early loss to Ole Miss. There is nothing to like in this game about Tennessee. Pick Alabama and pick them to cover.
Prediction: Alabama 35 – Tennessee 14
Missouri (-2.5) at Vanderbilt
Ewww.. I have to pick this dreadful game. No breakdown as I just want to get to the next game as quickly as possible.
Prediction: Missouri 9– Vanderbilt 3
Western Kentucky at LSU (-16)
LSU is the vastly superior team in this game. They should win by three touchdowns. At least.
But for some reason, I just have a feeling Western Kentucky will stay within arm’s length of LSU in this game. No real logic, just a suspicion I have.
Prediction: LSU 38- Western Kentucky 24
Texas A&M at Ole Miss (-6)
Possibly the most intriguing game of the weekend. Texas A&M got housed by Alabama at home, a team Ole Miss beat on the road. So the advantage goes to Ole Miss, right?
Well Ole Miss ain’t played so hot since that win. They survived against a bad Vandy team, they lost to Florida, and lost to Memphis. So adavantage to Texas A&M, right?
Honestly, I don’t know who has the advantage in this game. I do know Texas A&M has played great on the road since they came into the SEC, and I won’t trust a coach that was outcoached by the Memphis Head Coach.
Prediction: Texas A&M 41– Ole Miss 31
Kentucky at Mississippi State (-11)
I’m a little surprised the line didn’t drop more than this. Kentucky has some talent, but they can’t ever seem to put it together.
Mississippi State will probably struggle in the early going like they have virtually the entire year. Then they’ll figure things out and make some adjustments and win by double digits.
Prediction: Mississippi State 30– Kentucky 17