MSU Baseball Advanced Stats – Week 1, Part II

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Welcome to Week 1, Part II of our advanced stats for the Diamond Dawgs. I decided to release a “Part II” since we played another game and I’ve made some improvements to the first edition.  In the coming weeks I’ll add some comparisons to SEC league averages.

For this first edition I will offer explanations of each stat, but in later post I will just provide a link to explanations.

Hitting

BABIP (batting average of balls in play) – this stat calculates what a player’s average is when they hit the ball within the field of play. All home runs and strikeouts are taken away to determine how they fair in this regard. The goal of this stat is to indicate a hitter’s “luck”. In other words, a really high BABIP may indicate the hitter has a fair amount of luck and has been fortunate to ‘hit it where they ain’t’ more times than most. A really low BABIP may indicate poor luck where the hitter is hitting it right at the defender for an out more times than most. Over time, the stat should even out, but it lets us know if we can predict a player whose production may decrease or increase going forward.

PlayerBatting averageBABIP
Cody Brown.250.500
Demarcus Henderson.286.500
Brett Pirtle.333.385
Wes Rea.231.375
C.T. Bradford.267.364
Alex Detz.267.333
Zach Randolph.250.286
Daniel Garner.143.250
Derrick Armstrong.267.250
Jake Vickerson.111.166
Jacob Robson.000.000
Seth Heck.000.000
Kyle Hann.000.000
Matthew Britton.000.000
Reid Humphreys.000N/A
Gavin Collins.000N/A
Cody WalkerN/AN/A
Joey SwinarskiN/AN/A
Brent RookerN/AN/A
Dylan IngramN/AN/A

OPS (on-base plus slugging) – this represents a player’s ability to get on base and hit for power. Generally anything above .750 is good…and anything above .900 is excellent.

PlayerOB%OPS
Cody Brown.5381.038
Demarcus Henderson.545.974
Brett Pirtle.412.879
Wes Rea.474.782
Gavin Collins.750.750
Alex Detz.421.688
C.T. Bradford.389.656
Zach Randolph.400.650
Derrick Armstrong.375.542
Jacob Robson.500.500
Daniel Garner.143.286
Matthew Britton.273.273
Reid Humphreys.250.250
Jake Vickerson.111.111
Seth Heck.000.000
Kyle Hann.000.000
Cody WalkerN/AN/A
Joey SwinarskiN/AN/A
Brent RookerN/AN/A
Dylan IngramN/AN/A

RISP (runners in scoring position) – this is not really a SABR stat but it is one that cannot be found in MSU’s stat book. It’s one that I really like though as it measures the ‘clutch’ gene.

PlayerBatting averageBA with RISP
Alex Detz.267.500
Brett Pirtle.333.500
Wes Rea.231.500
Zach Randolph.250.500
Jake Vickerson.111.500
Cody Brown.250.333
C.T. Bradford.267.000
Daniel Garner.143.000
Demarcus Henderson.286.000
Matthew Britton.000.000
Jacob Robson.000.000
Seth Heck.000.000
Kyle Hann.000.000
Derrick Armstrong.167.000
Reid Humphreys.000.000
Gavin Collins.000.000
Cody WalkerN/AN/A
Joey SwinarskiN/AN/A
Brent RookerN/AN/A
Dylan IngramN/AN/A

RC (runs created) – this is a popular stat that seeks to determine how many runs a particular player is responsible for. Hits, walks, total bases and at-bats are used to calculate this stat – it has nothing to do with RBI which is viewed by some as “luck” with regard to coming up with men on base.

PlayerRBIRC
Brett Pirtle32.63
Cody Brown32.16
Alex Detz21.68
Wes Rea61.65
C.T. Bradford21.41
Demarcus Henderson01.33
Zach Randolph1.80
Derrick Armstrong0.38
Daniel Garner0.14
Jake Vickerson2.11
Jacob Robson00
Seth Heck00
Kyle Hann00
Matthew Britton00
Reid Humphreys00
Gavin Collins00
Cody WalkerN/AN/A
Joey SwinarskiN/AN/A
Brent RookerN/AN/A
Dylan IngramN/AN/A

Batting average – (minus) productive outs – there may be an official name for this stat, but I don’t know what it is and this is one I like to look at. Productive outs meaning a fly ball or grounder that advances the runner with 0 outs but is not counted as a sacrifice. For instance: a groundout to 2nd base that advances the runner to third base with 0 outs is a productive out. It is not a productive out with 1 out because the runner can no longer score from 3rd on a sac fly. For the opening weekend only C.T. Bradford had one of these when he grounded out in the bottom of the 9th Friday night but Kyle Hann was able to reach 2nd base.

PlayerBatting averageBA – productive outs
Brett Pirtle.333.333
C.T. Bradford.267.286
Demarcus Henderson.286.286
Alex Detz.267.267
Cody Brown.250.250
Zach Randolph.250.250
Wes Rea.250.250
Derrick Armstrong.167.167
Daniel Garner.143.143
Jake Vickerson.111.125
Jacob Robson.000.000
Seth Heck.000.000
Kyle Hann.000.000
Matthew Britton.000.000
Reid Humphreys.000.000
Gavin Collins.000.000
Cody WalkerN/AN/A
Joey SwinarskiN/AN/A
Brent RookerN/AN/A
Dylan IngramN/AN/A

Pitching

BABIP – same idea as the offense, only it goes to measure a pitcher’s luck. I will note that Ross Mitchell is an example of someone who defies this stat, he will likely always have a high BABIP but he’s good plain and simple.

PlayerOpp. Batting averageBABIP
Preston Brown .143 .200
Austin Sexton .143 .200
Dakota Hudson .267 .250
Ben Bracewell .167 .250
Johnathan Holder .182 .250
Ross Mitchell .267 .333
Trevor Fitts .269 .466
Will Cox .500 .667
Brandon Woodruff .400 1.000
Myles Gentry N/A N/A
John Marc Shelly N/A N/A
Zac Houston N/A N/A
Jacob Lindgren.000 N/A
Paul Young N/A N/A
Peter Billingsly N/A N/A
Lucas Laster N/A N/A
Glenn Irby N/A N/A
Levi Mintz N/A N/A
Ben Hudspeth N/A N/A
Vance Tatum .000 N/A
C.T. Bradford N/A N/A

WHIP (walks + hits per inning pitched) – this is a very popular stat that has even made its way to the mainstream. It simply attempts to find out how many base-runners a pitcher has per inning. Anything less than 1.0 is excellent. 

PlayerInnings pitchedWHIP
Vance Tatum .1 0
Ben Bracewell 7.1 .82
Johnathan Holder 2.1 .86
Dakota Hudson 4.0 1.0
Austin Sexton 2.0 1.0
Ross Mitchell 8.2 1.15
Jacob Lindgren 1.2 1.2
Trevor Fitts 6 1.5
Preston Brown 2.0 1.5
Will Cox .2 3.0
Brandon Woodruff 1.0 6.0
Zac Houston N/A N/A
John Marc Shelly N/A N/A
Myles Gentry N/A N/A
Peter Billingsly N/A N/A
Lucas Laster N/A N/A
Glenn Irby N/A N/A
Levi Mintz N/A N/A
Ben Hudspeth N/A N/A
Paul Young N/A N/A
C.T. Bradford N/A N/A

FIP (fielding independent pitching) – this stat I did not use in week one, but it’s a good one that should be used. The purpose of this stat is to determine how good a pitcher is based on what they control. And what they can control are HR, K, BB and HBP. In other words, they can’t always control balls that are hit into play. For instance, over the course of 100 balls hit to a SS, ‘fielder A’ who doesn’t have excellent range may putout 85 of them, while ‘fielder B’ with tremendous range may putout 95 of them. The pitcher has no control over who is playing behind them, so this statistic attempts to take the place of ERA in determining a pitcher’s value.

PlayerE.R.A.FIP
Vance Tatum 0.00 -2.81
Will Cox 13.500.20
Trevor Fitts 1.50 0.53
Johnathan Holder 7.71 0.63
Jacob Lindgren 0.00 0.80
Ben Bracewell 0.00 1.56
Ross Mitchell 2.08 2.28
Austin Sexton 0.00 2.70
Preston Brown 0.00 4.20
Dakota Hudson 2.25 6.20
Brandon Woodruff 18.00 12.20
Zac Houston N/A N/A
John Marc Shelly N/A N/A
Paul Young N/A N/A
Peter Billingsly N/A N/A
Lucas Laster N/A N/A
Glenn Irby N/A N/A
Levi Mintz N/A N/A
Ben Hudspeth N/A N/A
Myles Gentry N/A N/A
C.T. Bradford N/A N/A

Percentage of inherited runners who score – this one is pretty self-explanatory, and for a team that relies on its bullpen as heavily as MSU does this is a very important stat.

PlayerInherited runners% who score
Ross Mitchell 2 0%
Ben Bracewell 2 0%
Preston Brown 2 0%
Vance Tatum 1 0%
Johnathon Holder 1 0%
Jacob Lindgren 1 0%
Trevor Fitts N/A N/A
Dakota Hudson N/A N/A
Brandon Woodruff N/A N/A
Myles Gentry N/A N/A
John Marc Shelly N/A N/A
Zac Houston N/A N/A
Austin Sexton N/A N/A
Will Cox N/A N/A
Peter Billingsly N/A N/A
Lucas Laster N/A N/A
Glenn Irby N/A N/A
Levi Mintz N/A N/A
Ben Hudspeth N/A N/A
Paul Young N/A N/A
C.T. Bradford N/A N/A

Quality Starts – a minimum of six innings pitched with no more than three earned runs given up. For this staff it could probably be adjusted to two runs but I’ll leave the stat as it is.

PlayerStartsQuality starts
Trevor Fitts 1 1
Ben Bracewell 1 1
Dakota Hudson 1 0
Brandon Woodruff 1 0
Preston Brown N/A N/A
Vance Tatum N/A N/A
Ross Mitchell N/A N/A
Jacob Lindgren N/A N/A
Johnathan Holder N/A N/A
Myles Gentry N/A N/A
John Marc Shelly N/A N/A
Zac Houston N/A N/A
Austin Sexton N/A N/A
Will Cox N/A N/A
Peter Billingsly N/A N/A
Lucas Laster N/A N/A
Glenn Irby N/A N/A
Levi Mintz N/A N/A
Ben Hudspeth N/A N/A
Paul Young N/A N/A
C.T. Bradford N/A N/A