Prognostications and Prophecies: Picking SEC Games Against the Spread, Week 10

Last week wasn’t as bad as the previous week, but it still wasn’t good. I went 2-3 against the spread which brought me under 50% for the season. Gotta get back on track this week. I can feel a hot streak coming on!

To the picks!

Last Week

Against the Spread: 2-3
Straight Up: 4-1

Year to Date

Against the Spread: 28-29
Straight Up: 38-19

Mississippi State (-7.5 ) at Missouri

Since this game is on Thursday, and you are reading this on Friday, I put my prediction on Twitter so no one could accuse me of justing predicting what ever happened.

Missouri’s defense is really good, so they will limit some of the things Mississippi State wants to do on offense. But that Missouri offense might be one of the worst offenses to take the field in the history of the SEC. State doesn’t score a bunch but still wins easy. I’ll try to update this before it posts to tell you how right or wrong I was.

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Prediction: Mississippi State 24 – Missouri 6

Vanderbilt at Florida (-21)

Vanderbilt is a terrible football team. But they do play great defense which could keep Gators from running up a big number on the Commodores. So I initially thought to go with the Gators winning but not covering.

But Florida’s defense is really good too. So take the Gators, and take them to cover.

Prediction: Florida 27 – Vanderbilt 3

Kentucky at Georgia (-14)

Look, I think Georgia will win this game, but if there is anything about the way Georgia is playing right now that makes you believe they can beat anyone by 14 points, I’d like to know what it is. And even more surprising is the line started at -17. I don’t expect Kentucky to win, but they will keep it close.

Prediction: Georgia 27- Kentucky 20

Arkansas at Ole Miss (-11)

I have a rule about Arkansas and teams like the Razorbacks. If they are given double digits, always take them.

Arkansas could easily grind this game to a halt and keep the ball away from Ole Miss. They also proved they have the team to make life miserable for Ole Miss last season. If this was a 7 or 8 point spread, I’d say go with Ole Miss. But it isn’t so take Arkansas.

Prediction: Ole Miss 27 – Arkansas 17

South Carolina at Tennessee (-17)

South Carolina showed some signs of life last week, so at first glance, I thought there was no way the Gamecocks wouldn’t cover this number. Then I remembered South Carolina showed those signs of life against Texas A&M’s defense.

Tennessee is also starting to roll. And I expect them to roll all over the Gamecocks.

Prediction: Tennessee 41 – South Carolina 14

Auburn at Texas A&M (-7)

There always seems to be at least one game every week I don’t know what to do with. This game is it for Week 10.

I could see Auburn finding some offensive flow against A&M’s defense because it is less than great. I could also see the Aggies figuring some things out on defense because Auburn’s offense is less than great. Since it is at home, I’ll take the latter.

Prediction: Texas A&M 45 – Auburn 28

LSU at Alabama (-6.5)

I always find it odd that CBS reserves their lone prime time game for LSU and Alabama. The game are almost always defensive struggles that might be exciting because of how close they are, but not because there are tons of exciting plays.

Expect more of the same in this year’s game. Both teams love to run the ball, and are great at stopping pro style offenses that like to run the ball over and over. Alabama will be just a little bit better on Saturday

Prediction: Alabama 17 – LSU 14