Oct 24, 2013; Starkville, MS, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Dak Prescott (15) on the sidelines during the game against the Kentucky Wildcats at Davis Wade Stadium. Mississippi State Bulldogs win the game against Kentucky Wildcats 28-22. Mandatory Credit: Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

Grass's Guesses Week 10

Oct 27, 2012; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Fans tailgate in what

I don’t gamble. But I do like to pick games and see how I do against the spread. I haven’t been keeping track of how well I do, but I will start this week. If you use these as the basis of any actual wager, then you might want to have your head examined.

Georgia (-2.5) vs. Florida (in Jacksonville)

It’s the Largest Outdoor Cocktail Party! I also like to refer to it as the most overrated college football game. Always lots of hype and almost always the same result: Florida wins. Georgia is a good team when healthy and they are not healthy. Florida is… confusing. They don’t really score, but they do usually find out a way to win. I think that happens again.

The Guess: Florida 21, Georgia 17

Auburn (-8) at Arkansas

Arkansas is not good. I have virtually no faith in this version of Pig Sooie to win much of anything. I think Bielema will get this program back to its winning ways, but they only have one real shot at getting an SEC win, and that one shot is against us. I don’t even think they will win that one. Auburn has surprised everyone, but there will be no surprises in this one. War Eagle pulls away in the fourth quarter.

The Guess: Auburn 31, Arkansas 17

Tennessee vs. Missouri (-11.5)

Tennessee had a really nice upset of South Carolina a few weeks ago. Missouri was upset by South Carolina last week. Missouri can’t afford to lose another SEC game and give other teams in the East a hope. I think they come out focused and crush the Vols.

The Guess: Missouri 35, Tennessee 13

Alabama State at Kentucky (NL)

Someone who actually gambles will have to educate me here. If there isn’t a line on the game, can you gamble on it? I am really confused by this. Kentucky will win; they aren’t completely awful, just kind of awful.

The Guess: Kentucky 42, Alabama St. 10

Oct 19, 2013; College Station, TX, USA; Texas A

Oct 19, 2013; College Station, TX, USA; Texas A

UTEP at Texas A&M (-45.5)

There is very little I know about gambling, but one thing I do know is to never bet on a game with such a huge line like this. Texas A&M will roll all over UTEP, it just depends when Sumlin decides to take his foot off the pedal. I think it is before they have a 46 point lead.

Mississippi State at South Carolina (-13)

Sep 21, 2013; Starkville, MS, USA; Mississippi State Bulldogs quarterback Dak Prescott (15) celebrates after scoring a touchdown during the game against the Troy Trojans at Davis Wade Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

Spruce Derden-USA TODAY Sports

Here is another reason that I never gamble. I could never put money against my own team. Heck, I can’t even pick against them whenever I am doing an online pick ‘em contest. I always pick Mississippi State regardless how much or how little faith I have in the team at the time. If you can’t make a pick and put money down on a team based off of what you actually see on the field, not what you really want to happen, then you shouldn’t be putting money on the game.

I do believe this is a winnable game. South Carolina has a history under Spurrier of having major letdowns after big wins (see their LSU game after beating Georgia last year). This could be a big letdown game for them. Shaw is ailing and Davis has a bum ankle. I think if Mullen puts all of his eggs in the Dak basket, I think we got a shot. Their pass defense is pretty good, but the run defense is pretty weak. That’s all the more reason to stick with Dak. Clowney has shown a penchant for trying to protect his draft stock more than anything else, and a big game against an overmatched offensive line isn’t going to do much to raise his draft stock. I think he goes through the motions in this one. Let’s all hope I am right.

The Guess: Mississippi State 24 (I’m not sure who is going to hit that field goal but someone will), South Carolina 20

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Tags: Picks SEC

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